Active engagement · May 2026 Federal policy submission

Canadian skilled-trades policy
and demand intelligence,
grounded in the trade itself.

ten Have Trades Advisory is a Thunder Bay–based policy and consulting practice focused on Canadian apprenticeship reform, the deployment of federal trades-training investment, and the development of Canada’s most complete repository of trades-related demand intelligence.

Submitted · 6 May 2026
Apprentice First: The Trade-to-Tertiary National Framework — a four-pillar policy proposal submitted to the Hon. Patty Hajdu, P.C., M.P., addressing the sponsor bottleneck and Canada’s 80% apprenticeship attrition.
Read the framework →

Canada is filling the front door of the apprenticeship system at record pace while four-fifths of those entrants fail to walk out the back door with certification.

01 — Demographic deadline
380,500
Workers required, 2025–2034

Total hiring requirement in Canadian construction over the next decade. Driven by 270,000 anticipated retirements and 111,600 net new positions from infrastructure renewal, housing demand, and the energy transition.

BuildForce Canada [1]
02 — Completion crisis
20.1%
Certified within expected duration

Of the 70,521 new apprenticeship registrations in 2023 and a record 101,541 preliminary in 2024, only one in five completed certification within the program’s expected duration. The shortfall is not a forecast — it is a deadline.

Statistics Canada RAIS [2]
03 — The sponsor bottleneck
38%
Top reason apprentices don’t complete

The most-cited barrier to apprenticeship completion: no employer sponsor for Level 1 or Level 2. The current system requires apprentices to find an employer before being formally registered — the dam at the front door.

Canadian Apprenticeship Forum [3]

The Trade-to-Tertiary National Framework — four pillars at the four moments where federal policy is currently producing the wrong outcomes.

Each pillar addresses a specific, evidenced barrier. Together they form a complete pathway — from a 16-year-old’s first interest in a Red Seal trade, through registration, training, placement, and the optional pivot into post-secondary at year five. Projected per-apprentice federal investment: $19,000 direct-placement, $23,000 with PSL1.

Pillar / I
Intake

National Entrance Portal & Examination

A single federal digital portal paired with a standardized entrance examination replaces sponsor-first registration. Successful candidates receive Registered Federal Apprentice (RFA) status, recognized in every province and territory.

Pillar / II
First Training

Pre-Sponsor Level 1 Pathway

An optional federally subsidized seat in Level 1 trade-specific technical training — delivered through publicly funded colleges, Indigenous-controlled post-secondary institutions, polytechnics, cégeps, and union/JATC training partners — completed before the employer search begins.

Pillar / III
First Placement

The Federal Sponsorship Bridge

A 75% wage subsidy on hours 1–1,000 (optional 50% on hours 1,001–2,000) re-routes the placement incentive through the federal portal rather than asking SMEs to bear the full search cost. SMEs receive a pre-screened, partly subsidized apprentice.

Pillar / IV
Career Trajectory

The Pivot Grant

After five years of RFA tenure, a federal entitlement covering year one of post-secondary tuition at a publicly funded Canadian institution. Eliminates the academic-anxiety objection to entering the trades by attaching a credible post-secondary off-ramp.

A perspective rare in federal policy circles — a career spent inside the trades system this work seeks to modernize.

From the instrumentation shop floor to federal policy advisory.

Tim ten Have spent twenty-five years in senior industrial-management roles before becoming a federal policy author. He is himself a Red Seal certified Industrial Instrument Mechanic; his Provincial Core Training students at Confederation College passed their Red Seal qualifying examinations on the first attempt with no re-writes — direct evidence relevant to the framework’s PSL1 design.

At the De Beers Victor Mine — a $1 billion IBA-anchored project with Attawapiskat First Nation — the project was completed within budget on an accelerated schedule with no lost-time accidents. That operational experience informs the framework’s Indigenous-stream IBA-leverage design.

At Confederation College, he led the complete redesign and reconstruction of the Instrumentation Program facilities, securing approximately $3 million in materials and labour for $600,000 in cash outlay through an industry-collaboration model. The lab is now one of the most advanced trades-training facilities of its kind in Canada.

Recognition
Faculty Award of Excellence, Confederation College
Awarded 2020 — in recognition of the instrumentation program redesign and the industry-collaboration model

What the firm does.

Four practice areas. Each is grounded in primary trades experience and in publicly available Canadian data — reproducible, defensible in regulatory contexts, and consistent with the public-good logic of federal core funding.

01 — Policy Advisory

Federal & provincial trades-policy authorship

End-to-end policy proposal development for federal trades modernization, apprenticeship reform, and the deployment of federal labour-market investment. Includes design rationale documentation, budgetary modeling, governance architecture, and ministerial briefing materials.

Apprentice First Trade-to-Tertiary ESDC
02 — Demand Intelligence

The Trades Demand Index (TDI)

A quarterly index covering all 54 Red Seal trades, decomposed by region, weighted by project completion probability, and inclusive of long-term maintenance demand from completed infrastructure. The most complete consolidated repository of Canadian trades-demand intelligence — grounded entirely in publicly available data sources.

54 Red Seal Trades Quarterly Public + Subscription
03 — Regional Convening

Northern Ontario industry-and-education tables

Convening services for regional pilot design and operationalization — bringing together Confederation College, Lakehead University, Oshki-Pimache-O-Win, principal regional employers in forestry, mining, construction, and infrastructure-maintenance, and the relevant ISET service holders. No financial stake in pilot intake numbers; no conflict of interest.

Thunder Bay–Superior North NAN & Matawa Honest broker
04 — Accelerated Diploma

One-calendar-year diploma framework

An original ten Have Trades Advisory design consolidating a traditional two-year diploma into one calendar year — 1,000 hours of instruction across three intensive 14-week semesters — for Indigenous, rural, and rapid-re-credentialing learners. Respects the “one year away from community” constraint. The subject of a separate companion proposal currently in preparation.

Original IP 1,000 hours · 42 weeks

Four primary user groups for Canada’s trades-demand intelligence repository.

Federal & Provincial Policy

ESDC, provincial apprenticeship authorities, Indigenous Skills and Employment Training partners. Quarterly seat-cap allocation, provincial enrolment calibration, regional cohort design.

Engineering & EPCM Firms

Tetra Tech · Hatch · WSP · Stantec · BBA · Ausenco · Knight Piésold · Worley · AtkinsRéalis · AECOM · Wood · Fluor · Aecon · Kiewit · PCL · Ledcor. Project-portfolio workforce planning.

Major Employers & Sectoral Bodies

Multi-site operators in construction, mining, oil & gas, manufacturing, energy generation, shipbuilding, and the defence industrial base. Mobility programs and apprentice-sponsorship decisions.

Training Institutions, Unions, Apprentices

Polytechnics, cégeps, colleges, JATCs, Building Trades locals, and individual Canadians deciding which trade to enter or which region to relocate to. Labour-market information that does not currently exist in any consolidated public form.

A five-document package, submitted May 2026.

The principal proposal is accompanied by an Indigenous-controlled-delivery companion addressed to Oshki-Pimache-O-Win and three illustrative companion documents that make the framework’s measurement and accountability infrastructure concrete in advance of implementation.

I.

Apprentice First — The Trade-to-Tertiary National Framework

The principal policy proposal submitted to the Hon. Patty Hajdu, P.C., M.P. Four pillars, $5.9B envelope, 150,000 cumulative RFAs over five years, modeled $12B+ GDP contribution.

Principal Proposal
~ 64 pages
II.

Apprentice First through Oshki-Pimache-O-Win

Companion proposal inviting Oshki to be the designated Indigenous-stream PSL1 delivery partner for Northern Ontario, serving Nishnawbe Aski Nation member communities and other First Nations learners.

Indigenous Companion
~ 29 pages
III.

Trades Demand Yardstick — A Worked Example

Concrete demonstration of the public quarterly trades-by-region dashboard, drill-down views, Indigenous-stream subset, and tier-by-tier access mock-ups for the four user groups.

Illustrative Companion
Worked example
IV.

MEE Blueprint & Sample Items

Pillar 1 entrance examination structure, topic outline, and pass standard. WHMIS safety fundamentals, grade-ten numerical literacy, document literacy, mechanical reasoning.

Illustrative Companion
Blueprint & items
V.

Design Rationale & Decision Log

Internal working document capturing every substantive design decision and the reasoning behind each — a defensible record for eventual review by federal policy staff.

Working Document
Internal reference

For inquiries, briefings, or partnership conversations — the door is open.

Principal
Tim ten Have
Telephone
Office
Thunder Bay, Ontario · Canada